Quote:
Originally Posted by wintersun
Yes. But how can we trust any information with the kind of history this guy has?
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This is not about trust. Certainly you would not sell the
farm based on one data point. It is
trends we
look for from a variety of sources.
Dr Deagle's comments stand by themselves and require
no comment or action because it is just one data point
Obviously, even doing trend analysis you can still be wrong
http://books.google.com/books?id=NFG...um=3&ct=result
and you try not to skew the trend line too far one way or another with an errant data point...
Just let him be and watch the data stream unfold. He will
be supported if he is correct.
You can even find use for dubious sources such as Sorcha Faal. As a mixed source
of truth and lies, they get their information from somewhere. The trick comes winnowing the truth
out from the lies. Using this technique in 2006 we bought into gold at 570.
It failed to go to the 2000 per ounce that was predicted at that time. Have we lost?